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Europa League
Referee: Radu Marian Petrescu
Nott'm Forest
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Porto
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,09 xG 0,60
51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Porto
1–0 M. Gibbs-White ⚽
19′
25′
🟨 Francisco Moura
Igor Jesus 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
N. Savona 🔁
↦ O. Zinchenko
46′
53′
ℹ️ Jan Bednarek
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
🔁 William Gomes
↦ B. Sainz
58′
🔁 G. Veiga
↦ A. Varela
58′
🔁 Zaidu
↦ A. Costa
58′
🔁 M. Fernandes
↦ F. Moura
Nicolò Savona ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
77′
🔁 R. Mora
↦ Pepê
2–0 Igor Jesus ⚽
77′
R. Yates 🔁
↦ Douglas Luiz
85′
89′
🟨 Gabri Veiga
Murillo 🟨
90′
I. Sangare 🔁
↦ E. Anderson
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
26 M. Sels G
3 N. Williams D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
35 O. Zinchenko D
12 Douglas Luiz M
8 E. Anderson M
14 D. Ndoye M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
19 Igor Jesus F
Bench (12)
13 John Victor
67 K. Willows
4 Morato
6 I. Sangare
15 A. Kalimuendo
16 N. Dominguez
22 R. Yates
24 J. McAtee
30 W. Boly
37 N. Savona
44 Z. Abbott
77 Z. Blake

Coach: Angelos Postecoglou

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
74 F. Moura D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
13 P. Rosario M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
6 S. Eustaquio
7 William Gomes
10 G. Veiga
12 Zaidu
21 D. Prpic
27 D. Gul
47 A. Alarcon
52 M. Fernandes
73 G. Bras
86 R. Mora

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.