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Europa League
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Freiburg
S U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Utrecht
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,56 xG 0,97
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Freiburg Utrecht
1–0 Y. Suzuki ⚽
C. Gunter
20′
2–0 V. Grifo ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
E. Dinkci 🔁
↦ J. Beste
52′
60′
🔁 Z. Iqbal
↦ A. Engwanda
N. Hofler 🔁
↦ J. Manzambi
66′
I. Matanovic 🔁
↦ J. Adamu
66′
66′
🔁 D. van den Berg
↦ C. Bozdogan
66′
🔁 D. de Wit
↦ G. Zechiel
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
75′
M. Rosenfelder 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
75′
78′
🔁 D. Min
↦ S. Haller
78′
🔁 D. Murkin
↦ A. Blake
88′
🟨 Derry Murkin
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (12)
24 J. Huth
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
9 L. Holer
17 L. Kubler
18 E. Dinkci
26 M. Philipp
27 N. Hofler
31 I. Matanovic
33 J. Makengo
37 M. Rosenfelder
43 B. Ogbus

Coach: Julian Schuster

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
22 M. Rodriguez M
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
8 C. Bozdogan F
91 S. Haller F
15 A. Blake F
Bench (12)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
5 K. Finnsson
6 D. van den Berg
9 D. Min
10 Y. Cathline
14 Z. Iqbal
20 D. de Wit
26 M. Jonathans
40 M. Didden
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
55 D. Murkin

Coach: Ron Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.