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Europa League
Referee: Filip Glova
Go Ahead Eagles
T T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,83 xG 2,82
30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 10
5 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Aston Villa
4′
⚽ E. Guessand 0–1
Gerrit Nauber 🟨
14′
C. Twigt 🔁
↦ G. Nauber
15′
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ J. Breum
39′
1–1 M. Suray ⚽
C. Twigt
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Deijl ⚽
J. Kramer
61′
66′
🔁 M. Cash
↦ A. Onana
66′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ O. Watkins
66′
🔁 M. Rogers
↦ V. Lindelof
66′
🔁 B. Kamara
↦ J. Sancho
76′
🔁 J. McGinn
↦ L. Bogarde
E. Linthorst 🔁
↦ Y. Salah Rahmouni
83′
R. Weijenberg 🔁
↦ M. Suray
83′
A. Adelgaard 🔁
↦ R. Margaret
83′
Robbin Weijenberg 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
22 J. De Busser G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 M. Meulensteen M
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni M
18 R. Margaret M
7 J. Breum M
17 M. Suray M
9 M. Smit F
Bench (12)
1 L. Plogmann
33 N. Verdoni
6 C. Twigt
8 E. Linthorst
11 O. Sivertsen
15 R. Weijenberg
24 K. Goudmijn
25 G. van Zwam
26 J. Dirksen
27 F. Stokkers
29 A. Adelgaard
32 O. Boakye

Coach: Melvin Boel

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martinez G
3 V. Lindelof D
5 T. Mings D
14 P. Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
26 L. Bogarde M
24 A. Onana M
29 E. Guessand M
10 E. Buendia M
19 J. Sancho M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (10)
40 M. Bizot
52 S. Proctor
2 M. Cash
4 E. Konsa
7 J. McGinn
9 H. Elliott
17 D. Malen
27 M. Rogers
44 B. Kamara
83 B. Burrowes

Coach: Unai Emery Etxegoien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.