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Conference League
Referee: Dario Bel
Strasbourg
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 69%
67%
71%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,57 xG 0,85
67% Possession 33%
25 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Strasbourg Jagiellonia
20′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
Half-time 0–1
53′
⚽ D. Stojinovic 0–1
T. Romanczuk
Mathis Amougou 🟨
59′
D. Moreira 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
61′
J. Panichelli 🔁
↦ M. Amougou
61′
V. Barco 🔁
↦ A. Ouattara
61′
J. Enciso 🔁
↦ K. Paez
72′
72′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ L. Flach
72′
🔁 L. Prip
↦ O. Pietuszewski
75′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
S. El Mourabet 🔁
↦ R. Luis
79′
1–1 J. Panichelli ⚽
G. Doue
79′
83′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ A. Pululu
Andrew Omobamidele 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Youssuf Sylla
Valentín Barco 🟨
90′
96′
🔁 D. Rallis
↦ J. Imaz
98′
🟨 Alejandro Pozo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-4-2
39 M. Penders G
42 A. Ouattara D
22 G. Doue D
2 A. Omobamidele D
24 L. Hogsberg D
16 K. Paez M
17 M. Amougou M
83 R. Luis M
20 M. Godo M
11 S. Nanasi F
80 F. Lemarechal F
Bench (10)
50 S. Bajic
60 G. Kerckaert
6 I. Doukoure
7 D. Moreira
9 J. Panichelli
19 J. Enciso
29 S. El Mourabet
32 V. Barco
35 S. Lung
37 G. Kodia

Coach: Liam James Rosenior

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
22 M. Piekutowski G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
31 L. Flach M
7 A. Pozo M
11 J. Imaz M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (11)
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.