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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Tromso
T T U S T
5–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
20%
48%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
60%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 5
19 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 15. · Sarpsborg 08 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 21 13 5 3 +25 44
2 Sarpsborg 08 21 10 8 3 +13 38
3 Brann 21 10 7 4 +21 37
4 Molde 21 10 4 7 +9 34
5 Haugesund 20 8 6 6 +3 30
6 Sandefjord 21 9 3 9 -3 30
7 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
8 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
9 Odd 20 8 4 8 -7 28
10 Lillestrom 21 7 6 8 -2 27
11 Aalesund 21 6 7 8 -1 25
12 Valerenga 20 6 6 8 -3 24
13 Sogndal 21 6 5 10 -7 23
14 Kristiansund 21 5 7 9 -8 22
15 Tromso 20 4 6 10 -17 18
16 Viking 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
1–0 S. Wangberg ⚽
Morten Pedersen
13′
2–0 C. Landu Landu ⚽
16′
3–0 M. Bakenga ⚽
T. Olsen
26′
4–0 S. Wangberg ⚽
Morten Pedersen
41′
Half-time 4–0
K. Antonsen 🔁
↦ L. Nilsen
50′
M. Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ Morten Pedersen
57′
5–0 M. Ingebrigtsen ⚽
C. Landu Landu
59′
63′
🔁 O. Halvorsen
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
67′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ P. Mortensen
80′
🟨 Andreas Albech
81′
🔁 T. Hovda
↦ N. Poulsen
J. Gundersen 🔁
↦ C. Landu Landu
83′
87′
🟨 Tor Oyvind Hovda
Magnar Odegaard 🟨
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
25 L. Nilsen M
7 Morten Pedersen M
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
8 U. Jenssen D
10 T. Olsen F
42 M. Bakenga F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (7)
3 K. Antonsen
24 M. Ingebrigtsen
26 J. Gundersen
40 Javi Jiménez
4 M. Dioury
9 S. Vuk
17 A. Sigurdarson

Coach: B. Flovik

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
13 O. Hansen D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
24 Nenass M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
7 O. Halvorsen
19 K. Diatta
18 T. Hovda
1 S. Čupić
11 J. Jørgensen
15 S. Rosted
16 J. Thomassen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.