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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Rosenborg

U S U S U

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

45%

35%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	20	13	4	3	+26	43
2	Bodo/Glimt	20	13	3	4	+16	42
3	Odd	20	11	5	4	+8	38
4	Rosenborg	20	9	6	5	+6	33
5	Brann	20	9	5	6	+6	32
6	Kristiansund	20	8	5	7	+4	29
7	Valerenga	20	7	6	7	+4	27
8	Viking	20	7	6	7	-1	27
9	Haugesund	20	6	7	7	+4	25
10	Lillestrom	20	7	4	9	-6	25
11	Stabaek	20	6	5	9	-5	23
12	Tromso	20	6	4	10	-15	22
13	Mjondalen	20	4	8	8	-10	20
14	Ranheim	20	5	4	11	-13	19
15	Sarpsborg 08	20	2	10	8	-7	16
16	Stromsgodset	20	4	4	12	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	11	9	2	0	+12	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	8	1	1	+20	25
3	Molde	9	7	2	0	+17	23
4	Rosenborg	10	7	2	1	+12	23
5	Valerenga	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Viking	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Kristiansund	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Stabaek	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Lillestrom	10	5	1	4	-1	16
10	Brann	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Mjondalen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Stromsgodset	10	4	1	5	-5	13
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	6	2	+0	12
14	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Haugesund	10	2	4	4	+0	10
16	Ranheim	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	11	6	2	3	+9	20
2	Brann	10	5	2	3	+5	17
3	Bodo/Glimt	10	5	2	3	-4	17
4	Haugesund	10	4	3	3	+4	15
5	Ranheim	10	3	3	4	-4	12
6	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-5	12
7	Rosenborg	10	2	4	4	-6	10
8	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-14	10
9	Odd	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Lillestrom	10	2	3	5	-5	9
11	Valerenga	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Viking	10	2	3	5	-9	9
13	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-8	7
14	Stabaek	9	2	0	7	-10	6
15	Sarpsborg 08	10	0	4	6	-7	4
16	Stromsgodset	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.