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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Lillestrom
S T S U S
1–3
Full-time
Brann
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
37%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
47%
68%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
5 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 9. · Brann 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 13 3 4 +16 42
2 Molde 19 12 4 3 +24 40
3 Odd 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Rosenborg 19 9 5 5 +6 32
5 Brann 19 8 5 6 +4 29
6 Valerenga 19 7 5 7 +4 26
7 Kristiansund 19 7 5 7 +3 26
8 Viking 19 7 5 7 -1 26
9 Lillestrom 19 7 4 8 -4 25
10 Haugesund 19 6 6 7 +4 24
11 Stabaek 20 6 5 9 -5 23
12 Tromso 19 6 3 10 -15 21
13 Mjondalen 19 4 8 7 -8 20
14 Ranheim 19 5 4 10 -12 19
15 Stromsgodset 20 4 4 12 -17 16
16 Sarpsborg 08 19 2 9 8 -7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Brann
13′
Petter Strand 0–1
1–1 Simen Rafn
Simen Kind Mikalsen
22′
34′
Ruben Jenssen 1–2
Marko Maric 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–3
50′
Gilli Sørensen 1–3
Ruben Kristiansen
Thomas Lehne Olsen 🟨
53′
Kristoffer Odemarksbakken 🔁
↦ Sheriff Sinyan
61′
64′
🔁 Thomas Grogaard
↦ Taijo Teniste
72′
🔁 Aune Selland Heggebo
↦ Amer Ordagić
Simen Kind Mikalsen 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 Gilbert Koomson
↦ Gilli Sørensen
Mats Haakenstad 🔁
↦ Aleksander Melgalvis
85′
Arnór Smárason 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Ruben Kristiansen
90′
🟨 Vito Wormgoor
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
19 Sheriff Sinyan M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
88 Arnór Smárason F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
27 Josef Baccay
13 Frode Kippe
28 Magnus Knudsen
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
15 Erik Brenden

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Brann

5-4-1
1 Håkon Opdal G
2 Taijo Teniste D
15 Bismar Acosta D
3 Vito Wormgoor D
4 Christian Rismark D
21 Ruben Kristiansen D
16 Ruben Jenssen M
10 Amer Ordagić M
29 Kristoffer Barmen M
17 Gilli Sørensen M
9 Petter Strand F
Bench (7)
30 Markus Pettersen
5 Thomas Grogaard
37 Andreas Mjos
7 Gilbert Koomson
39 Aune Selland Heggebo
18 Azar Karadas
34 Marius Bildoy

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.