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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Viking
S U S T S
3–3
Full-time
Odd
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
2,5
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,07 xG 1,03
66% Possession 34%
26 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viking 4. · Odd 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 16 6 3 +36 +18.7 54
2 Brann 25 14 7 4 +15 +11.6 49
3 Molde 25 13 5 7 +25 +16.2 44
4 Viking 24 12 7 5 +15 +13.1 43
5 Rosenborg 25 12 4 9 +5 +2.1 40
6 Fredrikstad 24 11 7 6 +3 +2.1 40
7 KFUM Oslo 24 8 9 7 +1 +7.2 33
8 Ham-Kam 24 7 8 9 +1 -2.4 29
9 Tromso 25 8 5 12 -5 -11.9 29
10 Kristiansund 24 7 8 9 -8 -10.2 29
11 Stromsgodset 24 7 7 10 -9 -6.1 28
12 Sarpsborg 08 24 7 5 12 -15 -6.8 26
13 Sandefjord 25 6 7 12 -8 -2.8 25
14 Haugesund 24 6 5 13 -14 -6.7 23
15 Odd 24 5 7 12 -18 -15.5 22
16 Lillestrom 24 6 3 15 -24 -8.5 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viking Odd
15′
M. Rugland Ree 1–0
own goal
18′
S. Sinyan 1–1
S. Johansen
29′
🟨 Alexander Fransson
2–1 H. Heggheim
S. Svendsen
35′
Simen Kvia-Egeskog 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 Josef Baccay
Half-time 2–1
Jošt Urbančič 🟨
53′
L. Salvesen 🔁
↦ H. Finndell
59′
N. Fuglestad 🔁
↦ S. Kvia-Egeskog
59′
62′
🔁 B. Njie
↦ B. Bang-Kittelsen
67′
🟨 Kjetil Haug
N. D'Agostino 🔁
↦ J. Urbančič
72′
V. Vevatne 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
72′
78′
🔁 S. Owusu
↦ T. Svendsen
78′
🔁 E. Ruud
↦ T. Børven
3–1 L. Salvesen
79′
87′
🔁 S. Aas
↦ E. Hussain
C. Cappis 🔁
↦ S. Langås
89′
90′
B. Njie 3–2
F. Jørgensen
91′
🟨 Bilal Njie
92′
🟨 Espen Ruud
4–2 N. D'Agostino
C. Cappis
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Viking

4-1-4-1
12 M. Rugland Ree G
15 H. Heggheim D
6 G. Stensness D
4 S. Langås D
23 J. Urbančič D
8 J. Bell M
29 S. Svendsen M
13 H. Finndell M
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog M
10 Z. Tripić M
20 P. Christiansen F
Bench (9)
9 L. Salvesen
31 N. Fuglestad
7 N. D'Agostino
3 V. Vevatne
27 C. Cappis
16 K. Løkberg
51 A. Bergsvik
2 H. Haugen
32 K. Sætherbø

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Odd

4-2-3-1
40 K. Haug G
21 S. Hagen D
15 S. Johansen D
14 S. Sinyan D
3 J. Baccay D
26 A. Fransson M
8 E. Hussain M
6 T. Svendsen M
7 F. Jørgensen M
29 B. Bang-Kittelsen M
19 T. Børven F
Bench (9)
24 B. Njie
17 S. Owusu
2 E. Ruud
18 S. Aas
27 O. Hagen
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
5 T. Miettinen
20 I. Abdulrazak
13 S. Skjeldal

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.