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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Peterboro
U T T T T
3–0
Full-time
Birmingham
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterboro Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Peterboro 23. · Birmingham 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Fulham 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Coventry 7 5 0 2 +3 15
5 Stoke 7 4 2 1 +2 14
6 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 +4 13
7 QPR 7 3 3 1 +5 12
8 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 +4 12
9 Cardiff 8 3 3 2 +3 12
10 Blackburn 7 3 3 1 +3 12
11 Luton 8 3 3 2 +1 12
12 Birmingham 7 3 2 2 +3 11
13 Preston 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Reading 8 3 1 4 -2 10
15 Middlesbrough 7 2 3 2 +0 9
16 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 +0 9
17 Millwall 7 1 4 2 -2 7
18 Barnsley 7 1 4 2 -3 7
19 Derby 8 1 4 3 -3 7
20 Swansea 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Blackpool 7 1 2 4 -6 5
22 Hull 8 1 2 5 -7 5
23 Peterboro 7 1 1 5 -10 4
24 Peterborough 7 1 1 5 -10 4
25 Nott'm Forest 7 0 1 6 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,28
U
3,32
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.