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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Waschitzki
St Pauli
T U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Heidenheim
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 12. · Heidenheim 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 10 8 0 2 +10 24
2 Darmstadt 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Paderborn 10 6 1 3 +14 19
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 2 3 +7 17
5 Hannover 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 Heidenheim 9 4 4 1 +7 16
7 Kaiserslautern 9 3 5 1 +3 14
8 Holstein Kiel 10 3 4 3 -3 13
9 Hansa Rostock 10 4 1 5 -4 13
10 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 +1 11
11 Regensburg 9 3 2 4 -7 11
12 St Pauli 9 2 4 3 -1 10
13 Nurnberg 9 3 1 5 -6 10
14 Sandhausen 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Greuther Furth 10 1 5 4 -5 8
16 Bielefeld 10 2 2 6 -6 8
17 Braunschweig 9 2 2 5 -9 8
18 Magdeburg 9 2 1 6 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Heidenheim
23′
🟨 Andreas Geipl
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Sessa
↦ A. Geipl
55′
🟨 Lennard Maloney
C. Metcalfe 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
59′
L. Daschner 🔁
↦ C. Boukhalfa
59′
60′
🟨 Jan-Niklas Beste
65′
🟨 Christian Kühlwetter
Eric Smith 🟨
71′
75′
🟨 Tim Kleindienst
I. Matanović 🔁
↦ E. Amenyido
75′
A. Dźwigała 🔁
↦ L. Ritzka
75′
75′
🔁 M. Rittmüller
↦ C. Kühlwetter
B. Fazliji 🔁
↦ A. Aremu
81′
84′
🔁 E. Qenaj
↦ A. Beck
92′
🔁 N. Theuerkauf
↦ L. Maloney
Betim Fazliji 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

4-4-2
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
21 L. Ritzka D
16 C. Boukhalfa M
8 E. Smith M
20 A. Aremu M
10 M. Hartel M
11 J. Eggestein F
14 E. Amenyido F
Bench (9)
24 C. Metcalfe
13 L. Daschner
34 I. Matanović
25 A. Dźwigała
5 B. Fazliji
31 F. Roggow
1 D. Smarsch
19 L. Zander
27 D. Otto

Coach: T. Schultz

Heidenheim

4-1-4-1
1 K. Müller G
33 L. Maloney D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
8 A. Geipl M
37 J. Beste M
11 D. Thomalla M
21 A. Beck M
24 C. Kühlwetter M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
16 K. Sessa
18 M. Rittmüller
44 E. Qenaj
30 N. Theuerkauf
28 M. Ramusović
22 V. Eicher
17 F. Pick
20 D. Burnić
27 T. Keller

Coach: F. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,59
B
3,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Waschitzki · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.