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Coupe de France

Referee: A Valnet

Nimes

T T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Bastia-Borgo

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Thiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Onet-le-Château	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Roche Saint-Genest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Évreux 27	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Stade Pontivy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Alençon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Montauban TG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Lannion	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Bourges Foot 18	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Thiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Onet-le-Château	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roche Saint-Genest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Évreux 27	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Alençon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Montauban TG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bourges Foot 18	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
50	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Stade Pontivy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Lannion	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.