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Serie B
Referee: F Meraviglia
Ascoli
S S S U S
0–0
Full-time
Cittadella
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Ascoli 1. · Cittadella 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Genoa 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Reggina 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Frosinone 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Cosenza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Brescia 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Bari 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Parma 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Palermo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Venezia 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Benevento 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
16 Ternana 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Como 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Pisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Perugia 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sudtirol 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Cittadella
8′
🟨 Dario Del Fabro
24′
🟨 Daniele Donnarumma
Fabrizio Caligara 🟨
29′
41′
🟨 Nicola Pavan
Cedric Gondo 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
44′
Cedric Gondo 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Raúl Asencio
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟥 Raúl Asencio
Fabrizio Caligara 🟨
52′
Fabrizio Caligara 🟥
52′
59′
🔁 Mamadou Tounkara
↦ M. Antonucci
M. Falzerano 🔁
↦ C. Lungoyi
60′
S. Giovane 🔁
↦ M. Büchel
74′
M. Eramo 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
74′
A. Salvi 🔁
↦ F. Donati
74′
74′
🔁 I. Lores
↦ A. Vita
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
78′
84′
🔁 G. Carriero
↦ E. Baldini
90′
🟨 Mamadou Tounkara
Eric Botteghin 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Dario Del Fabro
92′
🟥 Dario Del Fabro
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ascoli

4-3-3
1 N. Leali G
20 F. Donati D
33 Eric Botteghin D
55 G. Bellusci D
54 N. Falasco D
18 M. Collocolo M
77 M. Büchel M
8 F. Caligara M
7 C. Lungoyi F
15 C. Gondo F
26 S. Bidaoui F
Bench (12)
23 M. Falzerano
32 S. Giovane
27 M. Eramo
2 A. Salvi
9 F. Dionisi
29 F. Palazzino
6 E. Gnahoré
5 D. Quaranta
13 E. Guarna
90 Pedro Mendes
21 S. Giordano
4 L. Šimić

Coach: C. Bucchi

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
84 T. Cassandro D
5 D. Del Fabro D
15 D. Frare D
17 D. Donnarumma D
16 A. Vita M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
90 Raúl Asencio F
92 E. Baldini F
Bench (11)
9 Mamadou Tounkara
30 I. Lores
20 G. Carriero
99 A. Magrassi
2 R. Perticone
77 L. Maniero
8 D. Mazzocco
3 G. Felicioli
72 A. Danzi
6 S. Visentin
11 G. Beretta

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,19
B
3,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Meraviglia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,60 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.