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Serie B

Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Venezia

T S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Cesena

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

17 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 6. · Cesena 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Modena	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Monza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Juve Stabia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Bari	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.