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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Albacete
S U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 6. · Ponferradina 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Las Palmas 6 3 3 0 +7 12
3 Granada 6 4 0 2 +3 12
4 Cartagena 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +3 10
6 Albacete 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Burgos 6 2 4 0 +2 10
8 Villarreal B 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Andorra 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Levante 6 2 3 1 +4 9
11 Sp Gijon 6 2 2 2 +2 8
12 Zaragoza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Huesca 6 2 1 3 +1 7
15 Lugo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Ibiza 6 2 1 3 -4 7
17 Ponferradina 5 2 0 3 -2 6
18 Tenerife 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 Leganes 6 1 1 4 -3 4
20 Santander 6 1 1 4 -4 4
21 Malaga 5 1 0 4 -5 3
22 Mirandes 6 0 2 4 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Ponferradina
19′
🟨 Derik Lacerda
30′
🟨 José Amo
33′
🟨 Alexandru Paşcanu
Half-time 0–0
Bernabé Barragán 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Daniel Ojeda
Higinio Marín 🔁
↦ Jonathan Dubasin
60′
61′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ Hugo Vallejo
63′
🟨 Kelechi Nwakali
Sergi Maestre 🔁
↦ Maikel Mesa
67′
Rubén Martínez 🔁
↦ Juanma García
68′
72′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Yuri
72′
🔁 Moi Delgado
↦ J. Lukaku
Riki Rodríguez 🟥
74′
77′
🟨 Paris Barandiaran
80′
🔁 S. Abdulai
↦ Derik Lacerda
80′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Erik Morán
91′
Edu Espiau 0–1
Paris Adot
Dani González 🔁
↦ Olaetxea
93′
Julio Alonso 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Albacete

4-5-1
1 Bernabé Barragán G
23 Álvaro Rodríguez D
2 M. Djetei D
6 F. Boyomo D
17 Julio Alonso D
7 Juanma García M
18 Riki Rodríguez M
19 Olaetxea M
5 Maikel Mesa M
10 Manu Fuster M
16 Jonathan Dubasin F
Bench (11)
12 Higinio Marín
14 Sergi Maestre
11 Rubén Martínez
22 Dani González
15 Javi Martínez
27 E. Attipoe
24 Antonio Cristian
26 Juan Alcedo
8 Fran Álvarez
9 A. Kawaya
21 Tomás Reymão

Coach: Rubén Albés

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
13 G. Makaridze G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
5 José Amo D
12 J. Lukaku D
18 Erik Morán M
11 K. Nwakali M
23 Derik Lacerda M
7 Dani Ojeda M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
10 Yuri F
Bench (10)
20 José Naranjo
17 Heriberto Tavares
16 Moi Delgado
24 S. Abdulai
19 Edu Espiau
2 Aldair
1 A. Abedzadeh
3 Adrián Diéguez
15 Adrián Castellano
14 Ricard Pujol

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,25
B ✓
3,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.