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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Ponferradina
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Zaragoza
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 14. · Zaragoza 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 5 3 2 0 +7 11
2 Alaves 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Albacete 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Granada 4 3 0 1 +6 9
5 Levante 5 2 3 0 +5 9
6 Burgos 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 Cartagena 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Sp Gijon 5 2 2 1 +3 8
9 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Lugo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Villarreal B 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Andorra 5 2 1 2 -3 7
14 Ponferradina 4 2 0 2 -1 6
15 Huesca 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Tenerife 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Ibiza 5 1 1 3 -5 4
18 Leganes 5 1 0 4 -3 3
19 Malaga 4 1 0 3 -4 3
20 Santander 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Zaragoza 4 0 2 2 -2 2
22 Mirandes 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ponferradina Zaragoza
12′
G. Simeone 0–1
Víctor Mollejo
Hugo Vallejo 🟨
40′
1–1 K. Nwakali
Adrián Diéguez
44′
Half-time 1–1
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Heriberto Tavares
46′
51′
G. Simeone 1–2
G. Fuentes
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ José Naranjo
62′
J. Lukaku 🔁
↦ Moi Delgado
65′
69′
🔁 Miguel Puche
↦ Víctor Mollejo
S. Abdulai 🔁
↦ Hugo Vallejo
81′
Raúl Arias 🔁
↦ Erik Morán
81′
86′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ Sergio Bermejo
86′
🔁 Francho Serrano
↦ V. Vada
Sabit Abdulai 🟨
87′
90′
🔁 R. Petrović
↦ G. Simeone
91′
🔁 Carlos Nieto
↦ Manu Molina
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
16 Moi Delgado D
18 Erik Morán M
11 K. Nwakali M
17 Heriberto Tavares M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
20 José Naranjo M
23 Derik Lacerda F
Bench (12)
7 Dani Ojeda
19 Edu Espiau
12 J. Lukaku
24 S. Abdulai
27 Raúl Arias
5 José Amo
13 G. Makaridze
26 Ibrahim Janis
28 Juan Klein
15 Adrián Castellano
2 Aldair
14 Ricard Pujol

Coach: José Gomes

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
2 G. Fuentes D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
5 Jaume Grau M
23 Manu Molina M
28 Víctor Mollejo M
11 V. Vada F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
7 Miguel Puche
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
14 Francho Serrano
4 R. Petrović
17 Carlos Nieto
13 Álvaro Ratón
16 Dani Lasure
19 M. Gueye
27 Marcos Luna
8 Eugeni Valderrama
15 J. Quinteros
21 Alberto Zapater

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,08
B ✓
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.