← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Miguel Nogueira
Casa Pia
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Famalicao
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Casa Pia Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Casa Pia 7. · Famalicao 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Sp Braga 6 5 1 0 +16 16
3 Porto 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Portimonense 7 5 0 2 +2 15
5 Boavista 7 5 0 2 +0 15
6 Estoril 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Casa Pia 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Sp Lisbon 7 3 1 3 +3 10
9 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Gil Vicente 7 2 3 2 -1 9
11 Chaves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Arouca 7 2 2 3 -9 8
13 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Vizela 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Famalicao 6 1 1 4 -6 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 7 0 1 6 -10 1
18 Maritimo 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Casa Pia Famalicao
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Pelé
Léo Bolgado 🔁
↦ Fernando Varela
46′
1–0 Léo Bolgado
T. Kunimoto
60′
63′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ Rui Fonte
63′
🔁 J. Kadile
↦ Théo Fonseca
63′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ Pelé
69′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ Pedro Brazão
69′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ Rúben Lima
Rafael Martins 🔁
↦ Clayton
72′
Neto 🔁
↦ Romário Baró
72′
Afonso Taira 🟨
76′
Y. Eteki 🔁
↦ Afonso Taira
79′
Léo Natel 🔁
↦ S. Godwin
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Casa Pia

3-4-3
33 Ricardo Batista G
15 Fernando Varela D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
19 N. Zolotić D
42 Lucas Soares M
27 Afonso Taira M
17 Romário Baró M
5 Leonardo Lelo M
14 T. Kunimoto F
99 Clayton F
7 S. Godwin F
Bench (9)
4 Léo Bolgado
11 Rafael Martins
8 Neto
88 Y. Eteki
23 Léo Natel
2 E. Fereira
70 Anderson
16 Cuca
68 Lucas Paes

Coach: Filipe Martins

Famalicao

4-1-4-1
31 Luíz Júnior G
22 H. De La Fuente D
15 Riccieli D
4 E. Mihaj D
5 Rúben Lima D
25 Pelé M
95 Théo Fonseca M
11 Pedro Brazão M
97 S. Colombatto M
74 Francisco Moura M
17 Rui Fonte F
Bench (9)
9 Álex Millán
14 J. Kadile
28 Z. Youssouf
29 J. Cádiz
19 J. Rodríguez
13 Dalberson
20 Gustavo Sá
8 André Simões
6 Alexandre Penetra

Coach: Rui Pedro Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,03
B
3,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Nogueira · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.