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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Valerenga
U S S S T
4–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
59%
91%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
3,2
3,9
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Sandefjord 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 22 17 3 2 +30 54
2 Lillestrom 22 13 5 4 +18 44
3 Bodo/Glimt 22 12 5 5 +26 41
4 Rosenborg 22 11 7 4 +16 40
5 Valerenga 22 11 3 8 +6 36
6 Odd 23 10 3 10 -8 33
7 Viking 22 9 5 8 +3 32
8 Tromso 22 7 9 6 -5 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 8 5 9 +1 29
10 Haugesund 22 8 4 10 -1 28
11 Sarpsborg 08 22 8 1 13 -4 25
12 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -10 25
13 Ham-Kam 23 4 11 8 -4 23
14 Sandefjord 22 6 4 12 -15 22
15 Kristiansund 22 4 4 14 -18 16
16 Jerv 22 4 2 16 -35 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sandefjord
Tobias Christensen 🟨
32′
1–0 A. Layouni
T. Børven
36′
J. Eng 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Layouni
47′
70′
🔁 A. Winbo
↦ A. Ordagić
70′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ A. Tveter
72′
🔁 F. Flo
↦ Q. Jansen
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
75′
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ T. Børven
75′
3–0 T. Christensen
S. Juklerød
79′
82′
🟨 Albin Winbo
4–0 J. Eng
84′
85′
🔁 Féderico Bikoro
↦ K. Boya
85′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ Rufo
L. Zuta 🔁
↦ O. Holm
86′
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-5-1
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
18 S. Juklerød D
7 F. Jensen D
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
9 T. Børven F
11 A. Layouni M
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui M
Bench (9)
27 J. Eng
19 S. Jatta
14 H. Udahl
5 L. Zuta
20 M. Riisnæs
1 S. Rossbach
33 J. El-Abdellaoui
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
16 M. Emilsen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
2 M. Haakenstad D
18 F. Pålerud D
3 Q. Jansen D
15 J. Taaje D
19 A. Ordagić M
8 W. Kurtović M
7 M. Ofkir F
23 K. Boya M
14 A. Tveter F
28 Rufo F
Bench (9)
27 A. Winbo
9 S. Gussiås
21 F. Flo
22 Féderico Bikoro
20 F. Nyenetue
12 H. Keto
13 L. Markmanrud
10 D. Vega
25 V. Egeli

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.