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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Slask Wroclaw
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Korona Kielce
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
0%
25%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,75 xG 1,20
44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 15. · Korona Kielce 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +5 +3.0 10
2 Lech Poznan 5 3 1 1 +4 +1.2 10
3 Cracovia 5 3 1 1 +3 -2.6 10
4 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +3 -0.9 9
5 Piast Gliwice 4 2 2 0 +3 +2.3 8
6 Widzew Lodz 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.4 8
7 Legia 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.1 7
8 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
9 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 1 1 +0 -0.4 7
10 Puszcza 5 1 2 2 +0 +1.0 5
11 Motor Lublin 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.2 5
12 GKS Katowice 5 1 2 2 -1 -2.1 5
13 Zaglebie 5 1 2 2 -2 -1.2 5
14 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -1 +3.5 3
15 Slask Wroclaw 3 0 2 1 -2 +2.3 2
16 Lechia Gdansk 5 0 2 3 -7 -2.2 2
17 Stal Mielec 4 0 1 3 -4 -0.4 1
18 Korona Kielce 4 0 1 3 -6 -4.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce
30′
🟨 Konrad Matuszewski
Matías Nahuel 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
J. Jezierski 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
46′
Arnau Ortiz 🔁
↦ B. İnce
46′
Simeon Petrov 🟨
53′
Yegor Matsenko 🟥
59′
M. Żukowski 🔁
↦ J. Jezierski
66′
68′
🟨 Yoav Hofmeister
69′
🔁 D. Błanik
↦ W. Długosz
69′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ D. Trejo
70′
🟨 Pau Resta
72′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ M. Remacle
76′
🔁 W. Kamiński
↦ Y. Hofmeister
76′
🔁 M. Pięczek
↦ H. Zwoźny
J. Eyamba 🔁
↦ S. Musiolik
81′
87′
⚽ Adrián Dalmau 0–1
M. Pięczek
90′
🟨 Miłosz Trojak
T. Băluță 🔁
↦ T. Guercio
91′
1–1 P. Schwarz ⚽
M. Żukowski
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
33 Y. Matsenko D
87 S. Petrov D
5 A. Petkov D
78 T. Guercio D
16 P. Pokorný M
26 B. İnce M
77 M. Cebula M
17 P. Schwarz M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
11 S. Musiolik F
Bench (9)
29 J. Jezierski
19 Arnau Ortiz
22 M. Żukowski
9 J. Eyamba
21 T. Băluță
2 A. Paluszek
44 H. Śliczniak
27 F. Rejczyk
3 S. Szota

Coach: J. Magiera

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
1 X. Dziekoński G
37 H. Zwoźny D
66 M. Trojak D
5 Pau Resta D
3 K. Matuszewski D
18 Y. Hofmeister M
71 W. Długosz M
8 M. Remacle M
27 Pedro Nuno M
21 D. Trejo M
9 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
7 D. Błanik
17 M. Fornalczyk
20 Adrián Dalmau
88 W. Kamiński
6 M. Pięczek
73 M. Zapytowski
4 P. Malarczyk
10 S. Nagamatsu
15 I. Kośmicki

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.