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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Legia
U U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
50%
13%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,33 xG 1,60
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 5. · Gornik Zabrze 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 9 6 1 2 +7 +1.1 19
2 Rakow 7 5 1 1 +9 +5.0 16
3 Jagiellonia 8 5 1 2 +5 +3.8 16
4 Zaglebie 9 5 1 3 +0 +1.0 16
5 Legia 6 4 2 0 +9 -0.2 14
6 Lech Poznan 7 4 2 1 +4 +0.8 14
7 Stal Mielec 9 3 3 3 +2 -5.0 12
8 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 0 4 +2 +4.4 12
9 Radomiak Radom 9 3 2 4 -1 +0.5 11
10 Widzew Lodz 9 3 2 4 -2 -2.3 11
11 Cracovia 8 2 4 2 -4 +0.2 10
12 Warta Poznan 9 2 3 4 -1 +0.9 9
13 Piast Gliwice 9 1 6 2 -1 +7.8 9
14 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 3 3 -5 -6.4 9
15 Puszcza 9 2 2 5 -7 -7.4 8
16 LKS Lodz 9 2 1 6 -8 7
17 Korona Kielce 8 1 3 4 -3 -1.8 6
18 Ruch Chorzow 9 1 3 5 -6 -2.3 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Gornik Zabrze
1–0 T. Pekhart
P. Kun
8′
12′
S. Musiolik 1–1
45′
🟨 Robert Dadok
Half-time 1–1
Jurgen Çelhaka 🟨
46′
Josué 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
62′
J. Elitim 🔁
↦ B. Slisz
62′
P. Wszołek 🔁
↦ P. Kun
62′
64′
🔁 B. Sekulić
↦ R. Dadok
65′
🔁 L. Ennali
↦ K. Lukoszek
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ M. Rosołek
73′
77′
🔁 S. Czyż
↦ D. Rasak
77′
🔁 A. Kaprálik
↦ S. Musiolik
I. Strzałek 🔁
↦ J. Çelhaka
78′
85′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ Dani Pacheco
2–1 I. Strzałek
P. Wszołek
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
32 M. Baku M
99 B. Slisz M
21 J. Çelhaka M
33 P. Kun M
39 M. Rosołek F
7 T. Pekhart F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
27 Josué
22 J. Elitim
13 P. Wszołek
20 E. Muçi
86 I. Strzałek
30 D. Hładun
3 S. Kapuadi
17 Gil Dias
4 M. Burch

Coach: K. Runjaić

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bielica G
96 R. Dadok D
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
8 Dani Pacheco M
18 D. Yokota M
10 Ł. Podolski M
17 K. Lukoszek M
9 S. Musiolik F
Bench (9)
2 B. Sekulić
11 L. Ennali
55 S. Czyż
7 A. Kaprálik
16 P. Olkowski
5 K. Szcześniak
25 M. Sipľak
20 M. Chmarek
32 M. Szromnik

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.