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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Gornik Zabrze
S U T T T
3–0
Full-time
GKS Katowice
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 0,78
51% Possession 49%
26 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 14. · GKS Katowice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 +13 +4.2 19
2 Cracovia 9 6 1 2 +5 -0.8 19
3 Pogon Szczecin 9 5 1 3 +5 +2.6 16
4 Widzew Lodz 9 4 3 2 +2 -2.5 15
5 Piast Gliwice 9 4 3 2 +2 +1.0 15
6 Jagiellonia 8 5 0 3 -2 +0.5 15
7 Legia 9 4 2 3 +6 +4.3 14
8 Rakow 8 4 2 2 +3 +3.9 14
9 GKS Katowice 8 2 3 3 +0 -1.7 9
10 Radomiak Radom 8 3 0 5 -1 +0.8 9
11 Motor Lublin 7 2 3 2 -2 -2.0 9
12 Korona Kielce 9 2 3 4 -7 -4.6 9
13 Puszcza 9 1 5 3 -1 +0.0 8
14 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 2 4 -3 -0.6 8
15 Zaglebie 8 2 2 4 -4 -1.7 8
16 Lechia Gdansk 9 2 2 5 -7 -5.5 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 6 0 4 2 -4 +2.0 4
18 Stal Mielec 7 1 1 5 -5 +0.1 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze GKS Katowice
1–0 Ł. Podolski
4′
Kamil Lukoszek 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Josema
48′
61′
🔁 S. Milewski
↦ O. Repka
61′
🔁 Borja Galán
↦ S. Bergier
3–0 Ł. Podolski
K. Lukoszek
64′
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ L. Zahović
68′
69′
🔁 M. Mak
↦ A. Błąd
69′
🔁 A. Czerwiński
↦ M. Wasielewski
Y. Furukawa 🔁
↦ Ł. Podolski
71′
L. Ambros 🔁
↦ K. Lukoszek
72′
D. Szala 🔁
↦ Manu Sánchez
82′
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
82′
82′
🔁 A. Bród
↦ B. Nowak
92′
🟨 Aleksander Komor
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-2
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
5 K. Szcześniak D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janža D
11 T. Ismaheel M
8 P. Hellebrand M
6 D. Rasak M
17 K. Lukoszek M
10 Ł. Podolski F
7 L. Zahović F
Bench (9)
44 A. Buksa
88 Y. Furukawa
18 L. Ambros
27 D. Szala
16 P. Olkowski
1 F. Majchrowicz
14 A. Tobolik
21 D. Sarapata
15 N. Wojtuszek

Coach: J. Urban

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
2 M. Kuusk D
4 A. Jędrych D
14 A. Komor D
23 M. Wasielewski M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
5 O. Repka M
16 G. Rogala M
11 A. Błąd F
7 S. Bergier F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
22 S. Milewski
8 Borja Galán
10 M. Mak
30 A. Czerwiński
28 A. Bród
18 J. Arak
6 L. Klemenz
17 M. Marzec
32 R. Strączek

Coach: R. Górak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.