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DFB-Pokal
Referee: B Dankert
1–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Saarbrücken Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 57%
80%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
60%
83%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
27 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
29 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
30 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Saarbrücken Nurnberg
12′
⚽ M. Ševčík 0–1
R. Knoche
Half-time 0–1
K. Brünker 🔁
↦ P. Schmidt
46′
T. Civeja 🔁
↦ E. Krahn
55′
58′
🟨 Florian Flick
62′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ K. Okunuki
62′
🔁 R. Lubach
↦ M. Ševčík
62′
🔁 O. Karafiát
↦ R. Knoche
69′
🔁 T. Duman
↦ C. Jander
K. Rabihić 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
71′
C. Gourichy 🔁
↦ S. Stehle
71′
J. Günther-Schmidt 🔁
↦ A. Naïfi
78′
79′
🟨 Florian Pick
1–1 K. Brünker ⚽
C. Rizzuto
80′
92′
🔁 D. Forkel
↦ F. Pick
Kasim Rabihic 🟨
116′
117′
🟨 Oliver Villadsen
121′
⚽ T. Duman 1–2
2–2 C. Rizzuto ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ F. Flick 2–3
3–3 T. Civeja ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ J. Serra 3–4
M. Zeitz ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ L. Schleimer 3–5
4–5 K. Brünker ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ R. Lubach 4–6
Full-time 4–6

Line-ups

FC Saarbrücken

5-3-2
13 P. Menzel G
7 C. Rizzuto D
8 M. Zeitz D
4 S. Sonnenberg D
5 E. Krahn D
33 T. Schumacher D
19 S. Vasiliadis M
6 P. Sontheimer M
25 A. Naïfi M
22 S. Stehle F
39 P. Schmidt F
Bench (9)
9 K. Brünker
23 T. Civeja
10 K. Rabihić
21 C. Gourichy
20 J. Günther-Schmidt
18 L. Wilhelm
1 T. Paterok
2 P. Fahrner
31 R. Neudecker

Coach: R. Ziehl

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
4 F. Jeltsch D
31 R. Knoche D
2 O. Villadsen D
6 F. Flick M
20 C. Jander M
11 K. Okunuki M
19 M. Ševčík M
7 F. Pick M
36 L. Schleimer F
Bench (9)
23 J. Serra
18 R. Lubach
44 O. Karafiát
8 T. Duman
34 D. Forkel
3 Danilo Soares
37 M. Kukučka
33 N. Seidel
9 S. Tzimas

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

B Dankert · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.