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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Aarnink

Hamburg

U T S S T

4–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 41%

48%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

58%

61%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 4. · Nurnberg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	33	19	9	5	+25	66
2	Holstein Kiel	33	20	5	8	+25	65
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	17	9	7	+31	60
4	Hamburg	33	16	7	10	+17	55
5	Karlsruhe	33	14	10	9	+17	52
6	Hannover	33	13	13	7	+16	52
7	Paderborn	33	14	7	12	-1	49
8	Hertha	33	13	9	11	+11	48
9	Greuther Furth	33	13	8	12	-1	47
10	Schalke 04	33	12	7	14	-5	43
11	Elversberg	33	12	7	14	-11	43
12	Nurnberg	33	11	7	15	-18	40
13	Magdeburg	33	9	11	13	-7	38
14	Braunschweig	33	11	5	17	-11	38
15	Kaiserslautern	33	10	6	17	-10	36
16	Wehen	33	8	8	17	-13	32
17	Hansa Rostock	33	9	4	20	-26	31
18	Osnabruck	33	5	10	18	-39	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	17	11	5	1	+20	38
2	Hamburg	16	11	0	5	+14	33
3	Karlsruhe	17	9	5	3	+17	32
4	Greuther Furth	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Schalke 04	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	Hertha	17	8	6	3	+21	30
7	Hannover	16	8	6	2	+16	30
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+10	30
9	Holstein Kiel	17	9	2	6	+7	29
10	Paderborn	17	7	4	6	+1	25
11	Braunschweig	17	7	4	6	+0	25
12	Magdeburg	17	6	6	5	+4	24
13	Kaiserslautern	16	7	2	7	+0	23
14	Elversberg	16	6	4	6	-2	22
15	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	-6	22
16	Hansa Rostock	16	6	2	8	-6	20
17	Wehen	16	4	5	7	-6	17
18	Osnabruck	16	3	5	8	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	8	6	3	+21	30
3	St Pauli	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	-2	24
5	Hamburg	17	5	7	5	+3	22
6	Hannover	17	5	7	5	+0	22
7	Elversberg	17	6	3	8	-9	21
8	Karlsruhe	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Nurnberg	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Greuther Furth	17	4	4	9	-12	16
12	Wehen	17	4	3	10	-7	15
13	Magdeburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Kaiserslautern	17	3	4	10	-10	13
15	Braunschweig	16	4	1	11	-11	13
16	Schalke 04	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Hansa Rostock	17	3	2	12	-20	11
18	Osnabruck	17	2	5	10	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.