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Taça de Portugal
1–2
Full-time
Mafra
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olímpico do Montijo Mafra
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
0,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anadia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Arronches e Benfica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Machico 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Cinfães 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Academica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Estrela Vendas Novas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Operário 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Vieira 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ferreira Zêzere 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 CF Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Maria da Fonte 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Lusitânia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Aliança de Gandra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Régua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Moura 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Vianense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Leça 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 AD Marco 09 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 União de Coimbra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Ovarense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Vila Real 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Joane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Estarreja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Dumiense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Cardielense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Oliveirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Maia Lidador 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 União Lamas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Velense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Portel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Sacavenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Abrantes e Benfica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Pedras Salgadas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Vieirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Juventude Gaula 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 O Grandolense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Macedo Cavaleiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Lagos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Resende 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Oliveira de Frades 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Ginásio Figueirense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
80 Praia Milfontes 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.