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Taça de Portugal
Tirsense
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirsense Vieira
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 80%
60%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 40%
80%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anadia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Maria da Fonte 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Arronches e Benfica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Machico 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Cinfães 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Academica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Estrela Vendas Novas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Operário 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Vieira 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ferreira Zêzere 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 CF Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Lusitânia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Aliança de Gandra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Régua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Moura 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Vianense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Leça 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 AD Marco 09 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 União de Coimbra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Ovarense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Vila Real 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Joane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Estarreja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Dumiense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Cardielense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Oliveirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Maia Lidador 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 União Lamas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Velense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Lajense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Portel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Sacavenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Abrantes e Benfica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Pedras Salgadas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vieirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Juventude Gaula 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 O Grandolense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Macedo Cavaleiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Lagos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Resende 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Oliveira de Frades 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Ginásio Figueirense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
83 Praia Milfontes 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.