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Puchar Polski
Referee: A Rozycki
0–3
Full-time
Korona Kielce
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Znicz Pruszków Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
3,4
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Znicz Pruszków 19. · Korona Kielce 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hutnik Kraków 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Avia Świdnik 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Legnica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Wikielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Gryf Słupsk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
30 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Flota Świnoujście 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Znicz Pruszków Korona Kielce
15′
S. Rubezic 0–1
Half-time 0–2
47′
S. Rubezic 0–2
55′
🔁 D. Blanik
↦ S. Davidovic
55′
🔁 Nono
↦ N. Niski
V. Okhronchuk 🟨
59′
60′
V. Nikolov 0–3
M. Borecki 🔁
↦ M. Karol
61′
D. Bak 🔁
↦ T. Proczek
61′
R. Majewski 🔁
↦ M. Mak
61′
63′
🔁 M. Remacle
↦ T. Svetlin
M. Pawlik 🔁
↦ V. Okhronchuk
67′
F. Skladowski 🔁
↦ D. Konieczny
74′
F. Skladowski 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 K. Matuszewski
↦ V. Popov
F. Skladowski 🟨
88′
F. Skladowski 🟥
88′
J. Jach 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Znicz Pruszków

1 K. Napieraj
11 D. Konieczny
3 O. Koprowski
5 J. Jach
16 M. Mak
4 P. Plewka
14 V. Okhronchuk
8 T. Proczek
19 M. Karol
10 B. Ciepiela
18 K. Tabara
Bench (9)
12 P. Misztal
20 M. Borecki
6 M. Pawlik
7 D. Sokol
15 D. Bak
2 F. Skladowski
9 R. Majewski
17 J. Valencia
13 A. Nadolski

Coach: Peter Struhar

Korona Kielce

87 R. Mamla
23 S. Rubezic
24 B. Smolarczyk
61 J. Budnicki
26 V. Popov
27 W. Kaminski
88 T. Svetlin
6 M. Pieczek
9 S. Davidovic
11 V. Nikolov
15 N. Niski
Bench (9)
1 X. Dziekonski
3 K. Matuszewski
5 P. Resta
7 D. Blanik
8 M. Remacle
10 Nono
20 K. Minuczyc
44 K. Sotiriou
77 M. Cebula

Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.