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League Cup
Referee: Robert Madley
Wycombe
S U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wycombe Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
6 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 9
11 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wycombe 5. · Fulham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Cardiff 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.3 9
2 Wrexham 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.8 7
3 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.6 7
4 Grimsby 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.5 7
5 Wycombe 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.4 7
6 Millwall 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.5 7
7 Brighton 2 2 0 0 +12 6
8 Doncaster 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.1 6
9 Southampton 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.8 6
10 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.1 6
12 Fulham 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Lincoln 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.8 6
14 Bradford 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.7 6
15 Accrington ST 3 2 0 1 +1 +1.9 6
16 Reading 3 2 0 1 +0 -0.3 6
17 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 +0 +0.3 6
18 Wigan 3 2 0 1 +0 +0.3 6
19 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Plymouth 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.0 4
21 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 -5 -0.5 4
22 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.9 3
27 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Charlton 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
30 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Preston 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
32 Everton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.2 3
34 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
35 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
36 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.9 3
37 Cheltenham 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.5 3
38 Norwich 2 1 0 1 -2 +0.9 3
39 Oxford 2 1 0 1 -5 +0.2 3
40 Bromley 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.2 2
41 Sheffield Weds 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.5 2
42 Huddersfield 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
43 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
44 Bolton 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
45 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
46 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
47 Barnet 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
48 Man United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
51 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Leeds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
55 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
57 Walsall 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.6 1
58 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
59 Derby 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
60 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
61 Newport County 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.7 1
62 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.2 1
63 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -3 -0.6 1
65 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.0 0
68 Watford 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
69 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.7 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.9 0
71 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.3 0
72 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.3 0
73 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
74 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
75 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
76 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
77 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
78 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
79 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
80 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
81 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
82 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.6 0
83 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.8 0
84 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.1 0
85 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.5 0
86 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0
87 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.5 0
89 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.2 0
90 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.1 0
91 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
92 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -4 -0.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wycombe Fulham
1–0 C. Woodrow
J. Mullins
4′
Half-time 1–0
Jack Grimmer 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 R. Sessegnon
↦ J. Cuenca
48′
J. King 1–1
Kevin
D. Harvie 🔁
↦ T. Allen
57′
60′
🟨 Joshua King
65′
🔁 A. Iwobi
↦ T. Cairney
C. Boyd-Munce 🔁
↦ J. Mullins
68′
D. McNeilly 🔁
↦ C. Woodrow
68′
71′
🔁 S. Lukic
↦ H. Reed
74′
🔁 J. Kusi Asare
↦ R. Jimenez
Donnell McNeilly 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wycombe

4-2-3-1
50 W. Norris G
2 J. Grimmer D
26 C. Taylor D
45 A. Hagelskjaer D
6 T. Allen D
10 L. Leahy M
20 E. Henderson M
44 F. Onyedinma M
21 J. Mullins M
11 S. Bell M
12 C. Woodrow F
Bench (9)
1 M. van Sas
3 D. Harvie
7 A. Quitirna
8 C. Boyd-Munce
9 B. Fink
17 D. Casey
24 D. McNeilly
42 M. Westergaard
51 A. Lowry

Coach: Michael James Duff

Fulham

4-3-3
23 B. Lecomte G
21 T. Castagne D
31 I. Diop D
15 J. Cuenca D
3 C. Bassey D
10 T. Cairney M
6 H. Reed M
24 J. King M
11 A. Traore F
7 R. Jimenez F
22 Kevin F
Bench (9)
1 B. Leno
2 K. Tete
35 S. Amissah
30 R. Sessegnon
16 S. Berge
17 A. Iwobi
20 S. Lukic
18 J. Kusi Asare
99 S. Ridgeon

Coach: Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.