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Copa del Rey
0–4
Full-time
Tenerife
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
14 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
25 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
28 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
29 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
30 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
31 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
32 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
39 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
40 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
42 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
43 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
44 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RSD Alcalá Tenerife
42′
F. Sabina 0–1
D. Fernandez
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Juanjo
Cheki 🟨
53′
56′
M. Mesa 0–2
N. Lopez
E. Viana 🔁
↦ D. Lopez
58′
Izan 🔁
↦ J. Arribas
58′
65′
D. Fernandez 0–3
Juanjo
66′
🔁 N. Gil
↦ D. Fernandez
66′
🔁 M. Balde
↦ M. Mesa
66′
🔁 A. Manjam
↦ N. Lopez
A. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ S. Marcos
68′
A. Portero 🔁
↦ H. Javi
68′
J. Jimenez 🔁
↦ D. Nieto
83′
83′
🔁 J. Jorge
↦ F. Sabina
83′
🔁 A. Ulloa
↦ Juanjo
87′
N. Gil 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

RSD Alcalá

1 I. Gil
22 D. Nieto
15 Chete
4 H. Torres
12 M. Lopez
8 S. Marcos
7 J. Arribas
18 D. Lopez
14 Cheki
19 N. Sanchez
11 H. Javi
Bench (11)
13 C. Pantoja
5 J. Jimenez
3 D. Marin
20 E. Viana
2 J. de Castro
6 A. Blanco
16 A. Gonzalez
10 Izan
17 A. Portero
24 A. Salinas
23 I. Robledo

Coach: Vivar Dorado

Tenerife

13 G. Lozano de Vuyst
19 C. Alvarez
2 D. Rodriguez
22 A. Gonzalez
4 J. Leon
15 Fabricio
6 Juanjo
11 M. Mesa
29 D. Fernandez
28 F. Sabina
14 N. Lopez
Bench (9)
30 S. Aragoneses
12 A. Landazuri
3 A. Zoilo
10 N. Gil
23 J. Jorge
37 A. Ulloa
17 M. Balde
20 A. Manjam
9 J. de Miguel

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.