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Ligue 2
Referee: Ahmed Taleb
St Etienne
S T S T T
6–0
Full-time
Pau FC
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Pau FC 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 11 7 3 1 +11 24
2 Red Star 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 Pau FC 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 St Etienne 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Montpellier 11 5 2 4 +2 17
6 Reims 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Le Mans 11 4 4 3 +1 16
8 Annecy 11 4 3 4 +2 15
9 Amiens 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Guingamp 11 4 3 4 -4 15
11 Dunkerque 11 3 4 4 +4 13
12 Rodez 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Nancy 11 3 3 5 -5 12
15 Grenoble 11 2 4 5 -3 10
16 Boulogne 11 3 1 7 -5 10
17 Laval 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bastia 10 0 4 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Pau FC
1–0 J. Ferreira
F. Tardieu
2′
2–0 I. Cardona
J. Duffus
11′
21′
🟨 Cheikh Fall
Augustine Boakye 🟨
30′
3–0 F. Tardieu
41′
4–0 J. Duffus
44′
Half-time 4–0
B. Old 🔁
↦ A. Boakye
46′
46′
🔁 A. Bobichon
↦ D. Meddah
46′
🔁 R. Messi
↦ G. Versini
46′
🔁 O. Sissoko
↦ K. Dong
5–0 J. Duffus
M. Jaber
48′
Irvin Cardona 🟨
49′
55′
🔁 E. Zuliani
↦ O. Sadik
55′
🔁 N. Glossoa
↦ T. Pouilly
Z. Davitashvili 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
67′
N. El Jamali 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
68′
D. Appiah 🔁
↦ M. Nade
72′
L. Stassin 🔁
↦ J. Duffus
72′
6–0 Z. Davitashvili
M. Bernauer
79′
89′
🟥 Setigui Karamoko
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
13 J. Ferreira D
6 M. Bernauer D
3 M. Nade D
19 E. Annan D
29 A. Moueffek M
5 M. Jaber M
10 F. Tardieu M
7 I. Cardona F
17 J. Duffus F
20 A. Boakye F
Bench (7)
1 B. Maubleu
8 D. Appiah
35 L. Gadegbeku
31 N. El Jamali
11 B. Old
22 Z. Davitashvili
9 L. Stassin

Coach: Eirik Horneland

Pau FC

4-1-4-1
22 N. Raveyre G
2 T. Pouilly D
23 A. Briancon D
4 S. Karamoko D
3 J. Kalulu D
97 D. Meddah M
10 G. Versini
84 R. Touzghar M
6 C. Fall M
9 K. Dong M
18 O. Sadik F
Bench (7)
30 E. Salles
34 S. Lebouath
14 A. Bobichon
87 E. Zuliani
26 N. Glossoa
7 R. Messi
17 O. Sissoko

Coach: Nicolas Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,84
B
4,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.