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Copa del Rey

Tropezón

1–3

Full-time

Cultural Leonesa

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Inter de Valdemoro	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Maracena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
18	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
25	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
30	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
32	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	SD Negreira	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Los Garres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Maracena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Inter de Valdemoro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tropezón Cultural Leonesa

17′

⚽ D. Paraschiv 0–1

Half-time 0–1

51′

🟨 Y. Gonzalez

55′

⚽ T. Ribeiro 0–2

Pibe

A. Acosta 🔁

↦ F. Cobo

63′

H. Ruiz 🔁

↦ A. Pacheco

63′

🔁 J. Mboula

↦ P. Cortes

D. Pineda 🔁

↦ R. Gago

65′

74′

🔁 D. Collado

↦ L. Ribeiro

74′

🔁 L. Chacon

↦ Pibe

A. Mier 🔁

↦ F. Torre

76′

X. Martinez 🔁

↦ G. Nalda

76′

1–2 J. Madrono ⚽

84′

89′

🔁 M. Justo

↦ D. Paraschiv

89′

🔁 M. Diallo Selu

↦ Y. Gonzalez

90′

⚽ J. Mboula 1–3

D. Collado

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Tropezón

1 P. Galnares

2 A. Pacheco

4 J. Arjona

6 F. Torre

14 R. Bouboulis

21 R. Bordas

17 G. Nalda

18 A. Uriarte

8 J. Madrono

7 R. Gago

9 F. Cobo

Bench (11)

13 R. Valdes

3 S. Ruiz

5 A. Mier

11 J. Morales

15 C. Tobar Lopez

16 X. Martinez

19 A. Villasana

20 D. Pineda

23 A. Acosta

22 H. Ruiz

24 H. Garcia

Coach: Crespo

Cultural Leonesa

1 M. Banuz

24 V. Garcia

5 Q. Fornos

16 T. Ribeiro

J. Larios

22 Pibe

8 Y. Gonzalez

6 S. Maestre

P. Cortes

18 D. Paraschiv

15 L. Ribeiro

Bench (10)

26 A. Rafus

2 J. Mboula

7 D. Collado

9 M. Justo

10 L. Chacon

17 I. Calero

23 M. Diallo Selu

36 M. Barzic

37 C. Luengo

38 S. Cuello

Coach: Raúl Sáenz del Rincón

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Tropezón

Cultural Leonesa

Odds comparison

Recent matches