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Copa del Rey
1–5
Full-time
Granada
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Inter de Valdemoro 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Maracena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
18 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
23 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
24 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
25 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
30 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
32 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Granada
13′
J. Pascual 0–1
41′
S. Rodelas 0–2
L. Gagnidze
Half-time 0–2
F. Lavernia 🔁
↦ B. Herrera
46′
51′
J. Pascual 0–3
L. Gagnidze
55′
🔁 B. Diallo
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
D. Lorente 🔁
↦ U. Almela
62′
65′
🔁 A. Sola
↦ S. Rodelas
65′
🔁 S. Faye
↦ M. Gambin
70′
D. Hormigo 0–4
A. Roz 🔁
↦ P. Tejon
74′
S. Granados 🔁
↦ D. Marza
74′
1–4 I. Agudo
76′
77′
🔁 P. Casadesus
↦ J. Pascual
77′
🔁 Juanjo
↦ G. Joel Akogo
M. Moliner 🔁
↦ J. Rives
81′
90′
A. Sola 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Roda

13 J. Rives
2 H. Royo
24 B. Albert
4 B. Herrera
3 A. Ramos
22 V. Albalat
8 B. Gomez
6 D. Marza
16 U. Almela
10 I. Agudo
19 P. Tejon
Bench (8)
1 M. Moliner
5 A. Iniesta Soriano
9 A. Roz
15 S. Ndoye
17 D. Lorente
20 S. Granados
23 B. Garcia
26 F. Lavernia

Coach: Miguel Ángel

Granada

13 A. Astralaga
30 G. Joel Akogo
3 D. Hormigo
24 L. Williams
23 L. Gagnidze
27 M. Gambin
14 M. Trigueros
26 S. Rodelas
19 J. Pascual
11 J. M. Arnaiz
21 P. Saenz
Bench (11)
1 L. Zidane
2 P. Casadesus
4 R. Alcaraz
5 M. Lama
7 A. Sola
8 P. Aleman
17 S. Faye
20 S. Ruiz
22 B. Diallo
28 O. Oppong
36 Juanjo

Coach: José Rojo Martín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.