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Copa del Rey

Guadalajara

S T

2–1

Full-time

Cacereño

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guadalajara Cacereño

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Inter de Valdemoro	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Maracena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
18	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
25	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
30	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
32	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	SD Negreira	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Los Garres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Maracena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Inter de Valdemoro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guadalajara Cacereño

40′

🟨 J. Barrio

1–0 Neskes ⚽

41′

Half-time 1–0

B. Diaz 🔁

↦ Neskes

46′

64′

🔁 M. Berlanga

↦ C. Gomez

64′

🔁 E. Hernandez

↦ A. Morales

U. Alvarez 🔁

↦ M. Ramirez

67′

D. Amigo 🔁

↦ A. Canizo

68′

71′

🔁 D. Gomez

↦ R. Sanchis

Samuel 🔁

↦ M. Verdu

73′

78′

🔁 Deco

↦ U. Rementeria

78′

🔁 I. Vicente

↦ J. Barrio

J. Casado 🔁

↦

79′

2–0 Samuel ⚽

83′

86′

🟨 E. Hernandez

86′

🟨 J. de Diego

90′

⚽ M. Berlanga 2–1

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Guadalajara

13 D. Vicente

6 P. Rojo

15 V. Rodriguez

5 D. Gallardo

19 P. Munoz

16 Cera

29 M. Verdu

18 J. Martinez

21 M. Ramirez

7 Neskes

9 A. Canizo

Bench (11)

1 A. Zarco

26 Popi

4 J. Ablanque

10 D. Amigo

11 U. Alvarez

20 B. Diaz

22 Samuel

23 J. Casado

27 N. Mayo

28 M. Rios

30 A. Batan

Coach: Pere Martí

Cacereño

13 I. Martinez

24 R. Valdera

3 J. Barrio

2 I. Martinez

5 J. de Diego

6 U. Rementeria

16 D. Gutierrez

21 A. Morales

18 R. Sanchis

7 I. Fernandez

19 C. Gomez

Bench (9)

1 D. Nieves

4 A. Crespo

8 Deco

9 D. Gomez

15 I. Vicente

17 M. Berlanga

22 E. Hernandez

23 O. El Goumiri

27 I. Bidauzarraga

Coach: Julio Cobos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

20. Dec CDR 3 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Guadalajara

Cacereño

Odds comparison

Recent matches