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Copa del Rey

Toledo

1–4

Full-time

Sevilla

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
31	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
34	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
42	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
48	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	SD Negreira	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Los Garres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
19	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Toledo Sevilla

N. Rubayo 🟨

14′

🟨 Oso

1–0 S. Brunet ⚽

17′

23′

⚽ Peque 1–1

40′

⚽ A. Januzaj 1–2

Half-time 1–2

S. Nanclares 🟨

46′

N. Ghabbour 🟨

47′

48′

⚽ A. Januzaj 1–3

A. Adams

59′

🔁 G. Suazo

↦ Oso

60′

⚽ K. Salas 1–4

M. Bueno

G. de la Rosa 🔁

↦ S. Nanclares

68′

V. Meneses 🔁

↦ N. Ghabbour

68′

A. Hornero 🔁

↦ J. L. Friaza

68′

Willy 🔁

↦ N. Rubayo

68′

🔁 Castrin

↦ C. Ejuke

69′

🔁 N. Gudelj

↦ A. Januzaj

76′

🟨 R. Martinez

80′

🔁 R. Vargas

↦ A. Gonzalez

81′

🔁 J. A. Carmona

↦ R. Martinez

E. Pena 🔁

↦ J. Sotos

82′

Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Toledo

1 C. Gomez Vela

2 S. Barreto

3 D. Luna

23 S. Brunet

6 N. Ghabbour

7 J. Sotos

5 S. Nanclares

20 G. Saiz Ramirez

22 N. Rubayo

9 L. Molina

11 J. L. Friaza

Bench (11)

13 A. Quintela

14 A. Moraleda

15 R. Poveda

17 G. de la Rosa

4 A. M. Lopez

10 V. Meneses

8 A. Narbona

19 E. Pena

16 V. Barroso

24 A. Hornero

21 Willy

Sevilla

O. Nyland

J. Sanchez

R. Martinez

K. Salas

Oso

Peque

M. Bueno

C. Ejuke

24 A. Januzaj

A. Adams

A. Gonzalez

Bench (11)

31 A. Flores

1 O. Vlachodimos

2 J. A. Carmona

32 Castrin

15 F. Cardoso

12 G. Suazo

23 Marcao

6 N. Gudelj

20 D. Sow

11 R. Vargas

7 I. Romero

Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Toledo

Sevilla

Odds comparison

Recent matches