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Copa del Rey
0–5
Full-time
Valencia
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maracena Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Inter de Valdemoro 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Maracena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
18 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
23 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
24 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
25 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
30 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
32 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maracena Valencia
Half-time 0–0
K. Naroa 🔁
↦ D. Martin
54′
55′
H. Duro 0–1
B. Santamaria
60′
D. Raba 0–2
H. Duro
61′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ J. Guerra
61′
🔁 D. Lopez
↦ D. Otorbi
R. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Marfil
66′
L. Hayes 🔁
↦ R. Fernandez
66′
M. Manuela 🔁
↦ D. Romero
66′
67′
D. Lopez 0–3
A. Danjuma
70′
🔁 L. Rioja
↦ H. Duro
70′
🔁 L. Nunez
↦ B. Santamaria
75′
L. Rioja 0–4
L. Nunez
D. Reinoso 🔁
↦ R. Osuna
77′
80′
A. Danjuma 0–5
D. Lopez
88′
🔁 M. Jurado
↦ A. Panach
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Maracena

13 D. Garcia
2 J. Gonzalez
8 A. Salvatierra
4 D. Martin
3 R. Alarcon
10 Falin
5 A. Marfil
6 J. Sabaca
7 D. Romero
22 R. Osuna
9 R. Fernandez
Bench (11)
14 M. Bordi
15 R. Camara
11 L. Hayes
19 D. Reinoso
16 K. Naroa
21 Sape
17 J. Moreno
1 F. del Campo
20 M. Manuela
18 M. Amaya
24 R. Berrio

Coach: Jesus Sierra

Valencia

1 S. Dimitrievski
26 Rubo
32 A. Panach
24 E. Comert
21 J. Vazquez
27 D. Otorbi
22 B. Santamaria
8 J. Guerra
10 A. Almeida
19 D. Raba
9 H. Duro
Bench (11)
13 C. Rivero
38 M. Jurado
14 J. Gaya
7 A. Danjuma
11 L. Rioja
12 T. Correia
5 C. Tarrega
16 D. Lopez
29 L. Nunez
3 J. Copete
39 M. Dominguez

Coach: Carlos Corberán Vallet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.