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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Heidenheim
S S S T U
5–0
Full-time
Nurnberg
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,8
1,7
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
55%
35%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

71% Possession 29%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Heidenheim 4. · Nurnberg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 21 14 6 1 +20 48
2 Hamburg 20 13 2 5 +14 41
3 Paderborn 21 12 2 7 +19 38
4 Heidenheim 20 10 7 3 +13 37
5 Kaiserslautern 21 9 8 4 +7 35
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 10 2 9 +5 32
7 Holstein Kiel 21 8 7 6 +2 31
8 St Pauli 21 7 8 6 +3 29
9 Hannover 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Greuther Furth 21 6 8 7 -4 26
11 Hansa Rostock 21 7 3 11 -10 24
12 Karlsruhe 20 6 4 10 -4 22
13 Nurnberg 20 6 4 10 -10 22
14 Braunschweig 21 5 6 10 -10 21
15 Magdeburg 21 6 3 12 -14 21
16 Bielefeld 20 6 2 12 -5 20
17 Regensburg 21 5 5 11 -15 20
18 Sandhausen 20 5 4 11 -13 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim Nurnberg
1–0 T. Kleindienst
18′
2–0 T. Kleindienst
F. Pick
23′
34′
🟥 Enrico Valentini
3–0 T. Kleindienst
F. Pick
38′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Dæhli
↦ K. Duah
51′
🟨 Florian Hübner
D. Burnić 🔁
↦ J. Schöppner
71′
K. Sessa 🔁
↦ J. Beste
71′
74′
🔁 F. Nürnberger
↦ J. Gyamerah
74′
🔁 T. Duman
↦ J. Castrop
4–0 T. Kleindienst
J. Föhrenbach
81′
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ T. Kleindienst
82′
C. Kühlwetter 🔁
↦ F. Pick
84′
N. Theuerkauf 🔁
↦ J. Föhrenbach
84′
85′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ C. Daferner
5–0 M. Busch
D. Burnić
86′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
33 L. Maloney M
3 J. Schöppner M
17 F. Pick M
11 D. Thomalla M
37 J. Beste M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
20 D. Burnić
16 K. Sessa
9 S. Schimmer
24 C. Kühlwetter
30 N. Theuerkauf
18 M. Rittmüller
27 T. Keller
8 A. Geipl
22 V. Eicher

Coach: F. Schmidt

Nurnberg

4-1-3-2
30 P. Vindahl G
22 E. Valentini D
19 F. Hübner D
16 C. Schindler D
28 J. Gyamerah D
5 J. Geis M
17 J. Castrop M
21 F. Flick M
6 L. Tempelmann M
23 K. Duah F
33 C. Daferner F
Bench (9)
10 M. Dæhli
15 F. Nürnberger
8 T. Duman
36 L. Schleimer
20 P. Köpke
3 S. Fofana
14 B. Goller
1 C. Klaus
11 E. Shuranov

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,44
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.