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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Livingston
T T U T T
1–4
Full-time
Dundee
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 21/19 matches
Win Ø 18%
10%
26%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
33%
63%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
7 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Dundee 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 17 3 2 +38 54
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 22 12 3 7 +7 39
4 Kilmarnock 22 8 7 7 +1 31
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Hibernian 21 6 7 8 -6 25
7 Aberdeen 19 6 5 8 -7 23
8 Dundee 19 5 7 7 -7 22
9 Motherwell 21 4 8 9 -9 20
10 ST Johnstone 21 4 8 9 -14 20
11 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Livingston 21 2 6 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Dundee
19′
⚽ A. Bakayoko 0–1
Jason Holt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
44′
🟨 Owen Dodgson
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ D. Costelloe
46′
🔁 R. Howley
↦ F. Robertson
53′
🟨 Luke McCowan
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ S. Donnellan
57′
J. Brandon 🔁
↦ D. Mackay
57′
J. Nouble 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
58′
59′
🔁 M. Boateng
↦ R. Howley
61′
🔁 M. Mellon
↦ S. Tiffoney
62′
⚽ L. McCowan 0–2
M. Mellon
M. Sangare 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
71′
72′
🔁 Z. Robinson
↦ A. Bakayoko
74′
🟨 Luke McCowan
74′
🟥 Luke McCowan
1–2 T. Yengi ⚽
78′
79′
⚽ Z. Robinson 1–3
M. Mellon
87′
⚽ M. Mellon 1–4
M. Boateng
90′
ℹ️ Michael Mellon
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
23 M. McGovern G
2 S. Donnellan D
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
11 D. Mackay M
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
29 J. Penrice M
10 S. Kelly F
16 S. Bradley F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
33 T. Yengi
12 J. Brandon
19 J. Nouble
20 M. Sangare
36 S. Culbert
24 S. Kelly
40 S. Lawal
35 C. Ledingham
1 S. George

Coach: D. Martindale

Dundee

4-3-3
30 H. Sharp G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
14 L. Ashcroft D
3 O. Dodgson D
19 F. Robertson M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
44 D. Costelloe F
9 A. Bakayoko F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
15 J. Mulligan
21 R. Howley
23 M. Boateng
26 M. Mellon
16 Z. Robinson
10 L. Cameron
4 R. Astley
1 A. Legzdiņš
8 C. Main

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U
3,08
B ✓
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

R Hardie · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.