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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
2–5
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,3
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

30% Possession 70%
11 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 15. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Twente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Waalwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Vitesse 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven
3′
L. de Jong 0–1
C. Gakpo
1–1 I. Lidberg
M. Deijl
14′
Mats Deijl 🟥
32′
38′
🔁 J. Veerman
↦ R. Ledezma
Half-time 1–1
J. Amofa 🔁
↦ E. Llansana
46′
46′
🔁 G. Til
↦ L. de Jong
46′
🔁 I. Saibari
↦ C. Gakpo
48′
X. Simons 1–2
55′
0 A. Obispo 1–3
X. Simons
60′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ I. Sangaré
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
70′
Jose Fontán 🟨
74′
76′
X. Simons 1–4
I. Saibari
2–4 O. Edvardsen
I. Lidberg
80′
81′
🔁 André Ramalho
↦ A. Obispo
89′
J. Veerman 2–5
P. Mwene
X. Blomme 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
91′
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
6 J. Idzes D
4 José Fontán D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
21 E. Llansana M
10 P. Rommens M
23 O. Edvardsen M
9 I. Lidberg F
27 F. Stokkers F
Bench (9)
25 J. Amofa
7 R. Fernandes
20 X. Blomme
16 S. Jansen
3 G. Nauber
28 P. Saathof
14 A. Aventisian
26 J. Bakker
22 E. Mulder

Coach: R. Hake

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
3 J. Teze D
4 A. Obispo D
35 F. Oppegård D
6 I. Sangaré M
37 R. Ledezma M
27 J. Bakayoko M
7 X. Simons M
11 C. Gakpo M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (12)
23 J. Veerman
20 G. Til
28 I. Saibari
15 É. Gutiérrez
5 André Ramalho
16 J. Drommel
22 J. Branthwaite
33 Sávio
31 P. Max
2 K. Hoever
24 B. Waterman
8 M. van Ginkel

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,89
U
5,12
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.