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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Leverkusen
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Augsburg
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 13. · Augsburg 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Augsburg
15′
F. Jensen 0–1
E. Demirović
35′
🟨 Mads Pedersen
42′
🟨 Ermedin Demirović
1–1 C. Aránguiz
43′
Half-time 1–1
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
62′
P. Hincapié 🔁
↦ M. Bakker
62′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
62′
65′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ E. Demirović
65′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ Iago
65′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ F. Jensen
70′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
75′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
Sardar Azmoun 🟨
79′
82′
🟨 Rafał Gikiewicz
82′
A. Hahn 1–2
83′
ℹ️ André Hahn
VAR: Goal confirmed
J. Pohjanpalo 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
87′
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
87′
88′
🟨 Maximilian Bauer
88′
🔁 M. Bauer
↦ A. Maier
94′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
40 A. Lunev G
30 J. Frimpong D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
5 M. Bakker D
20 C. Aránguiz M
25 E. Palacios M
19 M. Diaby M
9 S. Azmoun M
23 A. Hložek M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
10 K. Demirbay
3 P. Hincapié
21 A. Adli
17 J. Pohjanpalo
6 O. Kossounou
22 D. Sinkgraven
11 N. Amiri
36 N. Lomb
24 T. Fosu-Mensah

Coach: G. Seoane

Augsburg

3-5-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
2 R. Gumny D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
19 F. Uduokhai D
3 M. Pedersen M
10 A. Maier M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
22 Iago M
9 E. Demirović F
24 F. Jensen F
Bench (9)
28 A. Hahn
20 D. Caligiuri
7 F. Niederlechner
23 M. Bauer
18 R. Pepi
25 D. Klein
37 M. Malone
31 F. Götze
42 A. Zehnter

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,33
U
5,63
B ✓
9,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.