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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Brentford

T S S T U

4–0

Full-time

Man United

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

33% Possession 67%

13 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 11. · Man United 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.