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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Sunderland
T S U S T
2–2
Full-time
QPR
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 4. · QPR 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Sunderland 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Burnley 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 QPR 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Millwall 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Reading 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 West Brom 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Wigan 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Luton 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Preston 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Coventry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
23 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland QPR
L. O'Nien 🔁
↦ D. Ballard
9′
Jack Clarke 🟨
26′
30′
🟨 Samuel Field
1–0 R. Stewart
31′
37′
🟨 Robert Dickie
2–0 E. Simms
40′
Corry Evans 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Roberts
↦ A. Adomah
P. Roberts 🔁
↦ E. Simms
60′
75′
🔁 A. Dozzell
↦ S. Johansen
81′
🔁 S. Armstrong
↦ O. Shodipo
Lynden Gooch 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Tyler Roberts
87′
I. Chair 2–1
B. Wright 🔁
↦ A. Pritchard
88′
E. Embleton 🔁
↦ D. Neil
88′
90′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ N. Hämäläinen
92′
S. Dieng 2–2
I. Chair
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sunderland

3-4-1-2
1 A. Patterson G
5 D. Ballard D
6 D. Batth D
3 D. Cirkin D
11 L. Gooch M
24 D. Neil M
4 C. Evans M
20 J. Clarke M
21 A. Pritchard F
9 E. Simms F
14 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
13 L. O'Nien
10 P. Roberts
26 B. Wright
8 E. Embleton
12 A. Bass
42 A. Alese
23 J. Diamond

Coach: A. Neil

QPR

4-1-4-1
1 S. Dieng G
2 O. Kakay D
4 R. Dickie D
3 J. Dunne D
16 N. Hämäläinen D
6 S. Johansen M
37 A. Adomah M
10 I. Chair M
15 S. Field M
25 O. Shodipo M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
11 T. Roberts
17 A. Dozzell
30 S. Armstrong
18 M. Bonne
23 C. Masterson
32 J. Walsh
28 J. Gubbins

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,46
B
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.