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Premier League

Referee: D England

Arsenal

S T T S S

4–2

Full-time

Leicester

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 4. · Leicester 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.