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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
İstanbulspor
T S U U S
1–2
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
43%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 13. · Ankaragücü 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ad. Demirspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
2 Buyuksehyr 7 5 2 0 +10 17
3 Konyaspor 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Galatasaray 8 5 2 1 +4 17
5 Trabzonspor 8 5 1 2 +2 16
6 Besiktas 8 4 3 1 +6 15
7 Fenerbahce 7 4 2 1 +14 14
8 Kayserispor 8 4 0 4 +3 12
9 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Kasimpasa 8 4 0 4 -7 12
11 Alanyaspor 8 2 3 3 -5 9
12 Giresunspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 İstanbulspor 7 2 2 3 -5 8
14 Karagumruk 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Antalyaspor 7 2 0 5 -6 6
16 Ankaragücü 7 1 1 5 -6 4
17 Sivasspor 8 0 4 4 -7 4
18 Hatayspor 7 1 1 5 -7 4
19 Ümraniyespor 8 0 2 6 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Ankaragücü
Muammer Sarıkaya 🟨
14′
16′
⚽ E. Kılınç 0–1
T. Antalyalı
Valon Ethemi 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Pêpê Rodrigues
↦ T. Antalyalı
1–1 V. Ethemi ⚽
55′
M. Kabasakal 🔁
↦ A. Mehremić
62′
66′
🔁 Jesé
↦ E. Kılınç
76′
🔁 G. Zahid
↦ Pedrinho
76′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ G. Beridze
A. Čajič 🔁
↦ E. Rroca
77′
S. Guri 🔁
↦ İ. Yılmaz
77′
80′
🟨 Pêpê
87′
🟨 Yasin Güreler
90′
🔁 B. Güngördü
↦ G. Akkan
91′
⚽ A. Sowe 1–2
Jesé
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

3-4-2-1
1 D. Jensen G
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
88 A. Mehremić D
13 O. Berber M
10 E. Rroca M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
3 D. Aksu M
98 J. Topalli F
27 V. Ethemi F
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
57 M. Kabasakal
11 A. Čajič
61 S. Guri
59 A. Arda
50 M. Ologo
20 P. Ebert
19 E. Gültekin
66 A. Yaşar
14 R. Owusu
77 K. Bağış

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
32 G. Akkan G
77 O. Ceylan D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 Y. Güreler D
30 T. Ciğerci M
54 E. Kılınç M
48 T. Antalyalı M
8 Pedrinho M
21 G. Beridze M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
28 Pêpê Rodrigues
10 Jesé
19 G. Zahid
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
99 B. Güngördü
24 K. Malcuit
6 Ş. Çetin
88 F. Üzüm
4 A. Çankaya
11 F. Macheda

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,37
B ✓
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Y Kol · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.