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Super League

Referee: E Manouhos

Panionios

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panionios Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

This season — Super League · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

11%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panionios 13. · Aris Thessalonikis 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	OFI Crete	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Larisa	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	Xanthi	9	5	0	4	-1	15
6	AEK	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Aris	9	3	3	3	+4	12
8	Volos NFC	9	4	0	5	-7	12
9	Atromitos	8	3	2	3	+4	11
10	Aris Thessalonikis	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	3	0	5	-1	9
12	Panathinaikos	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Panionios	9	1	2	6	-10	5
14	Lamia	8	0	4	4	-10	4
15	Panetolikos	9	0	2	7	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	OFI Crete	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Aris	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+4	7
8	AEK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Asteras Tripolis	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Xanthi	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Larisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Lamia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Panionios	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Larisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Xanthi	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	AEK	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Panathinaikos	5	2	1	2	-6	7
7	OFI Crete	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	Aris	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Volos NFC	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Panionios	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Panetolikos	6	0	1	5	-9	1
15	Lamia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.