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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Brest
T T T U S
0–7
Full-time
Montpellier
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 10. · Montpellier 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +14 9
3 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Lille 4 2 1 1 -1 7
5 Auxerre 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Clermont 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 Toulouse 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Nantes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Brest 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Rennes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Monaco 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Montpellier 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Strasbourg 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Ajaccio 4 0 1 3 -4 1
19 Reims 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Montpellier
6′
F. Maouassa 0–1
E. Wahi
10′
E. Wahi 0–2
W. Khazri
11′
W. Khazri 0–3
F. Sacko
25′
N. Cozza 0–4
31′
E. Wahi 0–5
F. Maouassa
Half-time 0–5
M. Camara 🔁
↦ L. Brassier
46′
F. Honorat 🔁
↦ H. Magnetti
46′
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ J. Le Douaron
46′
Pierre Lees Melou 🟥
50′
54′
🔁 V. Germain
↦ W. Khazri
55′
🔁 M. Estève
↦ N. Cozza
62′
🟨 Arnaud Nordin
64′
V. Germain 0–6
T. Sainte-Luce
K. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Y. Belaïli
68′
68′
🔁 A. Souquet
↦ F. Maouassa
68′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ A. Nordin
71′
🟨 Leo Leroy
80′
🔁 B. Makouana
↦ E. Wahi
84′
V. Germain 0–7
F. Sacko
J. Uronen 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
85′
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
2 J. Duverne D
5 B. Chardonnet D
4 A. Dari D
3 L. Brassier D
8 H. Magnetti M
7 H. Belkebla M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
29 Mathias Lage F
22 J. Le Douaron F
31 Y. Belaïli F
Bench (9)
45 M. Camara
9 F. Honorat
13 I. Slimani
18 K. Dembélé
21 J. Uronen
14 I. Cardona
1 J. Blázquez
33 A. Camblan
28 H. Mbock

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
77 F. Sacko D
6 C. Jullien D
31 N. Cozza D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
13 J. Chotard M
12 J. Ferri M
7 A. Nordin M
99 W. Khazri M
27 F. Maouassa M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
9 V. Germain
14 M. Estève
2 A. Souquet
18 L. Leroy
28 B. Makouana
37 T. Allix
29 E. Tchato
34 M. Loubatieres
30 Matis Carvalho

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,66
B ✓
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.