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Premier League

Referee: D Coote

Aston Villa

T T S T S

0–1

Full-time

West Ham

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

9 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aston Villa 15. · West Ham 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Man City	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Brighton	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Man United	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	+8	5
9	Brentford	4	1	2	1	+3	5
10	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Crystal Palace	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Bournemouth	4	1	0	3	-14	3
17	Everton	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Leicester	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Leeds	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+9	4
6	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Man United	2	1	0	1	-3	3
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.