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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Espanol

T U U U T

1–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%

15 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 10

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 16. · Real Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Celta	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Girona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sevilla	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.