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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydin

Antalyaspor

T T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,91 xG 1,56

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antalyaspor 6. · Karagumruk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+10	+7.7	9
2	Trabzonspor	3	3	0	0	+3	+2.3	9
3	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+0.6	8
4	Konyaspor	3	2	1	0	+6	-0.1	7
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
6	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.7	6
7	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
8	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
9	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.5	3
10	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-4	-3.8	2
11	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
12	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-3	+1.6	1
13	Kocaelispor	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.8	1
14	Kasimpasa	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0
15	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.4	0
16	Karagumruk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
2	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.1	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
8	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
9	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Kocaelispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
12	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.3	0
14	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
15	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.6	0
16	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+7	+5.2	6
2	Goztep	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
3	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
4	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.4	3
8	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
9	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
11	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
14	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
15	Kocaelispor	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
16	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.