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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Motherwell
U U T U T
4–2
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · St Mirren 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 24 4 3 +51 76
2 Rangers 31 22 7 2 +37 73
3 Hearts 31 15 8 8 +13 53
4 Dundee United 31 10 9 12 -6 39
5 Hibernian 31 9 10 12 -4 37
6 Livingston 32 10 7 15 -8 37
7 Ross County 31 9 9 13 -8 36
8 Motherwell 31 9 9 13 -14 36
9 St Mirren 31 8 12 11 -14 36
10 Aberdeen 31 9 8 14 -3 35
11 ST Johnstone 32 7 9 16 -16 30
12 Dundee 31 5 8 18 -28 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–1 27. Oct -21 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–2 10. Apr -21 Motherwell – St Mirren 1–0 24. Feb -21 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–0 9. Jan -21 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–1

Match report

Motherwell St Mirren
14′
⚽ E. Brophy 0–1
1–1 S. Goss ⚽
C. Shields
20′
2–1 C. Shields ⚽
K. van Veen
21′
38′
⚽ C. McCarthy 2–2
3–2 D. Cornelius ⚽
J. Efford
45′
Half-time 3–2
72′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ E. Erhahon
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ J. Efford
74′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ S. Goss
75′
3–3 R. Tait ⚽
own goal
78′
79′
🔁 C. Main
↦ R. Tait
80′
🟨 Alan Power
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
18 D. Cornelius M
9 K. van Veen F
29 C. Shields F
20 J. Efford F
Bench (9)
26 R. Tierney
22 L. Donnelly
11 L. Shaw
3 J. Carroll
23 L. Grimshaw
14 J. Ojala
8 M. O'Hara
12 S. Fox
7 K. Woolery

Coach: G. Alexander

St Mirren

4-3-3
26 D. Lyness G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
7 Jordan Jones F
43 C. Ronan M
16 E. Erhahon M
12 J. Henderson F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (5)
21 A. Greive
10 C. Main
27 P. Urminský
13 A. Gogić
18 C. Dunne

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
🔒
U
3,10
🔒
B
3,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,48
🔒
U2,5
1,52
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.