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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
T T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,3
1,2
Scored
0,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
13%
35%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
27%
41%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
3 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Kilmarnock 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 13 3 1 +31 42
2 Rangers 16 12 1 3 +25 37
3 St Mirren 17 7 4 6 -1 25
4 Hibernian 17 6 6 5 -1 24
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 +1 23
6 Hearts 16 7 2 7 +0 23
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
9 Aberdeen 15 4 4 7 -8 16
10 Motherwell 17 3 6 8 -9 15
11 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -12 15
12 Livingston 15 2 4 9 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Kilmarnock
33′
🔁 A. Dallas
↦ M. Watkins
Half-time 0–0
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
46′
C. Montaño 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
74′
Michael Devlin 🟨
77′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ K. Guthrie
83′
Ayo Obileye 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 K. Magennis
↦ D. Armstrong
87′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ L. Polworth
91′
🟨 Robbie Deas
94′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ K. Magennis
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
5 M. Devlin D
19 J. Nouble M
18 J. Holt M
24 S. Kelly M
29 J. Penrice M
8 S. Pittman F
22 A. Shinnie F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
9 B. Anderson
3 C. Montaño
10 S. Kelly
12 J. Brandon
16 S. Bradley
20 M. Sangare
14 M. Welch-Hayes
32 J. Hamilton
4 T. Parkes

Coach: D. Martindale

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
12 D. Watson M
31 L. Polworth M
3 C. Ndaba M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
21 A. Dallas
16 K. Magennis
39 G. Mackay-Steven
7 R. McKenzie
19 T. Davies
25 S. Warnock
15 F. Murray
20 K. O'Hara
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U ✓
3,20
B
2,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.