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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Hearts

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Motherwell

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

36%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%

22 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 7

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Motherwell 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	25	19	4	2	+40	61
2	Rangers	25	20	1	4	+40	61
3	Hearts	25	15	3	7	+11	48
4	Kilmarnock	25	9	9	7	+2	36
5	St Mirren	25	10	5	10	+0	35
6	Dundee	25	8	8	9	-4	32
7	Motherwell	25	5	11	9	-4	26
8	Hibernian	24	6	8	10	-10	26
9	Aberdeen	24	6	8	10	-10	26
10	ST Johnstone	25	5	9	11	-15	24
11	Ross County	25	4	7	14	-23	19
12	Livingston	25	2	7	16	-27	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	11	0	2	+21	33
2	Celtic	12	9	2	1	+19	29
3	Kilmarnock	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Hearts	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	St Mirren	13	6	3	4	+3	21
6	Dundee	12	5	3	4	-1	18
7	ST Johnstone	13	4	5	4	-3	17
8	Motherwell	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Aberdeen	12	3	5	4	-2	14
10	Hibernian	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Ross County	11	3	2	6	-5	11
12	Livingston	12	1	5	6	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Rangers	12	9	1	2	+19	28
3	Hearts	13	9	0	4	+7	27
4	Dundee	13	3	5	5	-3	14
5	St Mirren	12	4	2	6	-3	14
6	Hibernian	11	3	4	4	-5	13
7	Aberdeen	12	3	3	6	-8	12
8	Kilmarnock	12	2	5	5	-5	11
9	Motherwell	12	1	7	4	-6	10
10	Ross County	14	1	5	8	-18	8
11	ST Johnstone	12	1	4	7	-12	7
12	Livingston	13	1	2	10	-17	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.