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Ligue 2
Dijon
S T T U T
2–4
Full-time
Toulouse
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Toulouse 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Toulouse 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Sochaux 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Auxerre 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Nimes 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Quevilly Rouen 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Niort 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Caen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
9 Ajaccio 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Bastia 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Valenciennes 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Rodez 4 1 2 1 -3 5
14 Pau FC 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Guingamp 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Dunkerque 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Dijon 4 0 1 3 -4 1
19 Nancy 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Grenoble 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,85
U
3,43
B ✓
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.